WonPremier League29 November 2025
Sunderland vs Bournemouth prediction
Sunderland vs Bournemouth, 29 November 2025: we published Sunderland Win at 3.04, model probability 39%. It won (3-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Sunderland Win
Match Result
3.04
Odds we published
Implied 33%
39.5%
Model probability
+6.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.