WonPremier League1 November 2025
Tottenham vs Chelsea prediction
Tottenham vs Chelsea, 1 November 2025: we published Chelsea Win at 2.51, model probability 44%. It won (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Chelsea Win
Match Result
2.51
Odds we published
Implied 40%
43.8%
Model probability
+4.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.