LostPremier League8 November 2025
Tottenham vs Manchester United prediction
Tottenham vs Manchester United, 8 November 2025: we published Manchester United Win at 2.47, model probability 44%. It lost (2-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Manchester United Win
Match Result
2.47
Odds we published
Implied 41%
44.4%
Model probability
+3.9 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.