WonFIFA World Cup21 June 2026
Tunisia vs Japan prediction
Tunisia vs Japan, 21 June 2026: we published Japan Win at 1.56, model probability 67%. It won (0-4). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Japan Win
Match Result
1.56
Odds we published
Implied 64%
66.9%
Model probability
+2.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-4
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.