LostSerie A17 May 2026
Udinese vs Cremonese prediction
Udinese vs Cremonese, 17 May 2026: we published Home or Draw at 1.37, model probability 77%. It lost (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Home or Draw
Double Chance
1.37
Odds we published
Implied 73%
77.1%
Model probability
+4.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.