LostSerie A27 December 2025
Udinese vs Lazio prediction
Udinese vs Lazio, 27 December 2025: we published Lazio Win at 2.48, model probability 43%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Lazio Win
Match Result
2.48
Odds we published
Implied 40%
43.1%
Model probability
+2.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.