LostFIFA World Cup21 June 2026
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands prediction
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands, 21 June 2026: we published Cape Verde Islands Win at 8.47, model probability 26%. It lost (2-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Cape Verde Islands Win
Match Result
8.47
Odds we published
Implied 12%
25.7%
Model probability
+13.9 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.