WonFIFA World Cup27 June 2026
Uruguay vs Spain prediction
Uruguay vs Spain, 27 June 2026: we published Spain Win at 1.68, model probability 62%. It won (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Spain Win
Match Result
1.68
Odds we published
Implied 59%
62.2%
Model probability
+2.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.