WonFIFA World Cup13 June 2026
USA vs Paraguay prediction
USA vs Paraguay, 13 June 2026: we published Home or Away at 1.34, model probability 73%. It won (4-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Home or Away
Double Chance
1.34
Odds we published
Implied 75%
73.4%
Model probability
-1.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won4-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.