LostUEFA Europa League6 November 2025
Utrecht vs FC Porto prediction
Utrecht vs FC Porto, 6 November 2025: we published FC Porto Win at 1.75, model probability 61%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
FC Porto Win
Match Result
1.75
Odds we published
Implied 57%
60.7%
Model probability
+3.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.