LostBundesliga20 December 2025
VfB Stuttgart vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction
VfB Stuttgart vs 1899 Hoffenheim, 20 December 2025: we published 1899 Hoffenheim Win at 3.37, model probability 36%. It lost (0-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
1899 Hoffenheim Win
Match Result
3.37
Odds we published
Implied 30%
36.1%
Model probability
+6.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.