WonLa Liga21 December 2025
Villarreal vs Barcelona prediction
Villarreal vs Barcelona, 21 December 2025: we published Barcelona Win at 1.83, model probability 63%. It won (0-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Barcelona Win
Match Result
1.83
Odds we published
Implied 55%
63.3%
Model probability
+8.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.