WonLa Liga22 November 2025
Villarreal vs Mallorca prediction
Villarreal vs Mallorca, 22 November 2025: we published Villarreal Win at 1.45, model probability 70%. It won (2-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Villarreal Win
Match Result
1.45
Odds we published
Implied 69%
69.6%
Model probability
+0.5 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.