WonBundesliga10 January 2026
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim, 10 January 2026: we published Under 2.5 at 2.24, model probability 61%. It won (0-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Under 2.5
Over/Under Goals
2.24
Odds we published
Implied 45%
60.9%
Model probability
+16.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.