LostPremier League30 November 2025
West Ham vs Liverpool prediction
West Ham vs Liverpool, 30 November 2025: we published West Ham Win at 4.20, model probability 39%. It lost (0-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
West Ham Win
Match Result
4.20
Odds we published
Implied 24%
38.6%
Model probability
+14.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.