LostPremier League31 January 2026
Wolves vs Bournemouth prediction
Wolves vs Bournemouth, 31 January 2026: we published Over 2.5 at 2.11, model probability 73%. It lost (0-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Over 2.5
Over/Under Goals
2.11
Odds we published
Implied 47%
73.0%
Model probability
+25.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.