WonUEFA Europa League15 October 2026
Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad prediction
Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad, 15 October 2026: we published Home or Draw at 1.42, model probability 73%. It won (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Home or Draw
Double Chance
1.42
Odds we published
Implied 70%
72.6%
Model probability
+2.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.